After self-retirement of ailing Fidel, now, in 2008, and even after his death in November 2016, many things have already happened in Cuba. Ral allowed the use of cell phones and computers: today nearly 60% of Cubans have access to the Internet, although the streak remains weak. He canceled exit visas abroad, restored diplomatic relations with the United States, and shook hands with Barack Obama, welcoming him to Havana. Above all, it began economic liberalization, legalizing private entrepreneurship and opening borders to foreign investment and even Maliken’s fashion shows. There was no alternative after the fall of the Soviet Union. But I was not chosen to return capitalism to Cuba, as Rall warned in 2013, announcing the stages of his gradual retirement: I was elected to defend socialism and continue to master it.

It must be recognized that he, the leader of realized socialism, wisely ran the fragile mix of economic reforms and state leadership, giving the shoulder to the rule of old age. It also appeared close to easing US sanctions, but with Trump the détente has stalled. We’ll see what happens with Biden, who has made it clear that he does not consider Cuba a priority.

This year the Daz-Canel government initiated new reforms, opening more opportunities for individuals. But the repression against domestic opposition has not diminished. rather. The Chinese Communist Party has promised an iron fist against ideological political subversion on social media – and appears to be concerned about the success of the Patria y vida music video, a reggaeton emulating the iconic Patria y muerte of Fidel Castro – while the police have ruthlessly handled the recent protests a gathering of artists and intellectuals at Movimiento de San Isidro.

Someone still sees Ral’s hand, which definitely won’t end Pajama planAs indicated on the island, which is subject to political purges. Its influence will still be strong. If anything, the regime is likely to be gradually demilitarized, to counter the growing economic crisis due to the blockade and the epidemic, which has halted tourism and remittances from abroad. Most of Trump’s 280 sanctions have targeted companies run by generals. If it passes into the hands of civilians, to circumvent sanctions, the balance will also change.

It probably won’t be enough to de-escalate the tension. January’s monetary reform stimulated inflation, and some assets rose 500%, and the increase in the minimum wage did not offset the effects. Waiting lists are back outside stores; Residents snore and listen to Patria y Vida.