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Nephew: EU can prevent secondary sanctions against Iran

Nephew: EU can prevent secondary sanctions against Iran

Speaking about the EU role in preventing the impact of US secondary sanctions on Iran, Richard Nephew says: “The EU can potentially do this, but it will have to act fast and aggressively if it is to both dissuade U.S. sanctions pressure on European companies and provide assurance to European companies.”  

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The Strategic Disaster of Leaving the Iran Deal

The Strategic Disaster of Leaving the Iran Deal

Seyed Hossein Mousavian, former Iranian diplomat and negotiator of Iran's nuclear diplomacy team wrote in Foreign Affairs: On Tuesday U.S. President Donald Trump withdrew the United States from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), colloquially known as the Iran nuclear deal, which had provided Iran with sanctions relief in exchange for stringent monitoring and limits on the country’s nuclear program. Calling the JCPOA a “horrible, one-sided deal that should have never, ever been made,” Trump announced that the United States would soon begin “reinstating U.S. nuclear sanctions on the Iranian regime.”

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  Iran must engage in NPT subject to full JCPOA implementation

Iran must engage in NPT subject to full JCPOA implementation

A former Iranian diplomat believes that if the US exits from the JCPOA without the UN Security Council and the Joint Commission under the agreement dealing with Iran’s complaints, Iran can subject its membership in the JCPOA and NPT to the full implementation of the 2015 JCPOA nuclear agreement.  

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Trump has no in-depth understanding of the JCPOA

Trump has no in-depth understanding of the JCPOA

Joshua H Pollack said: “If the EU has to appeal directly to the Iranians to stay within the terms of the JCPOA regardless of US actions in order to avoid being provoked into an open conflict, then I suspect they will do so.”  

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EU will seek to preserve the JCPOA without US

EU will seek to preserve the JCPOA without US

In an interview with Persia Digest, Richard Murphy said: “Trump's nomination of Pompeo as Secretary of State and choice of Bolton as National Security Advisor do not signal his decision to withdraw from the JCPOA.”  

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Shamkhani: Iran likely to leave NPT

Shamkhani: Iran likely to leave NPT

Javad Zarif initially mentioned the possibility of Iran leaving the NPT during his interview with the New Yorker on 22 April 2018, stating that if the US withdrew from the 2015 nuclear agreement, Iran would have three options to consider, one of which would be leaving the NPT. This has now been echoed by the Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council of Iran, Ali Shamkhani, saying that this would be the most likely option Iran will take should the US withdraw.  

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FM Zarif warns: Iran may leave the NPT

FM Zarif warns: Iran may leave the NPT

On 22 April 2018, newyorker.com writes that the Iran nuclear deal—the most significant non-proliferation agreement in more than a quarter century, whether you like the terms or not—is perched on the edge of a diplomatic cliff. By May 12th, President Trump will decide whether to kick it into the abyss. He hates it. “The worst deal I’ve ever seen,” he told Fox News, in an interview for the 2017 Super Bowl. “It was a deal that should never have been negotiated.” The world’s five other major powers—Britain, China, France, Germany, and Russia—were equal parties to the accord. The United Nations Security Council unanimously endorsed it, as did the twenty-eight nations of the European Union. But the United States was the decisive voice during the two years of diplomacy that went into the deal’s signing, in 2015, and it will be decisive in its fate now.  

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5 potential scenarios for Iran deal

5 potential scenarios for Iran deal

Seyed Hossein Mousavian wrote in Al-Monitor on 13 April 2018: “President Donald Trump’s tapping of Mike Pompeo and John Bolton for secretary of state and national security adviser, respectively, should do away with any pretense that the US administration wishes to “fix” the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). While Trump has long telegraphed his desire to undo the nuclear deal, Pompeo and especially Bolton have long advocated regime-change policies toward Iran, including war. As the May 12 deadline for Trump to renew sanctions waivers under the JCPOA approaches, five scenarios exist for how Trump’s “fix it or nix it” saga on the accord will play out.

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Missile dialogue between Iran and the West

Missile dialogue between Iran and the West

On 29 January 2018, Seyed Hossein Mousavian writes in lobelog.com U.S. President Donald Trump has made it clear that his opposition to the Iran nuclear deal—known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA)—is mainly rooted in Iran’s missile program and regional policies.

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